The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". It's a busy week! Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. You can't imitate a worldview. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. heritage commons university of utah. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. MANAGER'S SALARY. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. Thats Changing. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, . Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more 04:58 PM. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Dive in and Share your insights! Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Join. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. gold rush supreme second chance winners. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys.
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