"Assuming that China was eventually able to control the Taiwan Strait, it would deploy land forces to Taiwan, both to subdue/destroy the Taiwanese army, any US or allied ground forces that might be in Taiwan, and then to occupy the country.". According to the late Sir James Plimsoll [in conversation with me], Mao Zedong said to Prime Minister Nehru when the two met in 1954 that, in a war with any adversary China could afford to dedicate 100 million dead. Fundamentally, it would follow the strategic prescriptions of Sun Tzu in The Art of War. John Howard says he has no regrets about the war in Iraq or Australia's involvement in it. It depends how it starts. He has served in a number of Australian government agencies and been a senior adviser to several Australian defense ministers. Those are easy targets. One real threat mistaken for a bluff. Find out more about our policy and your choices, including how to opt-out. What would war with China look like for Australia? Part 1 China would have to launch an amphibious invasion, deploying troops along its beaches as the first step in a march towards the capital Taipei. Protests break out in Iran as more schoolgirls hospitalised after suspected poisoning. "This decision over the possibility of war with China could be made more difficult because of ANZUS. "Australia should use all the means at its disposal to avert a war with China. Maybe, that explained why President Bush and Prime Minister Howard, from the right of politics, and Mr Blair from the left of politics, shared the view about the need for the invasion.". If war were to break out, China can be expected to use this to disrupt communications and spread fake news and other disinformation. "Major combat against the United States means two nuclear-armed states fighting each other. And given Beijings singular focus on finding a way to sink US-style aircraft carriers, their capacity to carry combat aircraft into effective range has been dramatically curtailed. Stock exchanges in the United States and other countries might temporarily halt trading because of the enormous economic uncertainties. "A cross-strait Invasion would involve a shaping phase to achieve air, land, sea, and cyber superiority. by Robert Farley L Key Point: Escalation spirals are hard to. Should a war break out around the South China Sea, the US would be under pressure to quickly neutralise the roughly 10 man-made islands China has created (seen as unsinkable aircraft carriers) to use as military bases. Blood, sweat and tears. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. With that in mind, I sought the views of four of Australia's most experienced military strategists, with 100 years of high-level military and strategic experience between them,to discuss what joining the US in a war with China could mean for Australians. The context for decision making would be vitally important weighing the potential costs to the country, domestically and internationally, against the value of that cost for maintaining the ANZUS relationship. "The question requires urgent, high-profile debate in parliament and among the wider public. "To the extent that China's strategy is informed by Sun Tzu, it would have a strong preference for a short, sharp war. An F-16s normal operational radius is usually about 600km. These waterways could be used to bottle up Chinese forces. There are plenty of nations with grievances against China for its South China Sea policy. The US will pursue the following war aims: 1. What would war with China look like for Australia? Should US tensions with China flare into a war there is no question that these days Washington would put enormous pressure on Albanese, or any future leader, to join them in that conflict. "For my part Australians may be able to defend our nation because of our geographic good luck. Five-centuries-old saffron and ginger found preserved in shipwreck off Sweden, Chinese migrants walked a gruelling 500km to Victoria's goldfields in the 19th century. "Now, as we approach reaching 10 billion people on earth, we see more difficult problems arising from this population burden. everything from electronics to furniture to shoes. If the US went to war with China, who would win? - Nikkei Asia "That is why I think it would be a mistake for America, or Australia, to go to war with China over Taiwan.". In this scenario, the US and its allies could respond by conducting airlifts to Taiwan. Mr. Xi has championed Chinas political warfare capabilities as a magic weapon.. "In the history of the 20th century, it took two world wars to deal with the difficult policy question of dealing with rising powers prepared to challenge the statusquo. With China's rise and democracy's decline, what will the global order look like in 2050? the outcome for the U.S. was not a good one, a new report revealed this week. In July 2020, BeiDou, Chinas version of GPS became fully operational, allowing it to track ships, planes, cars and smartphones from space without relying on the US technology that has dominated global positioning for decades. US v China war: If conflict broke out, who would win? But it has always seemed to me that China, if it decides on military action to force "reunification"is more likely to mount a blockade than an invasion. For the US, the bigger the coalition of countries joining it in any war, the better. And I believe he is ready to exploit this with a multipronged campaign to divide Americans and undermine and exhaust their will to engage in a prolonged conflict what Chinas military calls enemy disintegration. The U.S. economy is heavily dependent on Chinese resources and manufactured goods, including many with military applications, and American consumers rely on moderately priced Chinese-made imports for everything from electronics to furniture to shoes. Part 1. "I cannot conceive that there are any benefits in Australia being at war with China unless the circumstances were so serious as to make the cost in lives and treasury worthwhile. On the military front, the United States should accelerate programs already underway to strengthen and disperse American forces in the Western Pacific to make them less vulnerable to attacks by China. The high-altitude balloon that drifted across the United States this month was seen by many Americans as a shocking Chinese breach of U.S. sovereignty. But Chinas been preparing for this for decades. Its a problem long recognised by defence analysts and planners. "Today we can see change for the worse all over the globe. "Would Australia have taken steps to make sure its own intelligence is based on Australian information and assessments? Over the past two decades, China has built formidable political warfare and cyber warfare capabilities designed to penetrate, manipulate and disrupt the United States and allied governments, media organizations, businesses and civil society. What war between China and the US looks like | news.com.au Australia Have employers used high inflation as cover to make excessive profits? Certainly not in the six-to-eight minutes it could take a DF-11 A rocket to cross the 130 kilometre-wide Taiwan Strait to its target. Washington and Beijing are locked in an intense strategic battle. All four analysts have held the highest security clearances that its possible to have. It is very plausible to say there is no guarantee of victory in the first phases, Lyle Goldstein, a research professor at the Naval War Colleges China Maritime Studies Institute, told Newsweek. The Pentagon views China as the "pacing threat," Gen. John "Mike" Murray, head of Army Futures Command, said March 17 during remarks at the Association of the United States Army's virtual Global Force Next conference. The People's Liberation Army is capable of "substantially subduing" the US Navy in the waters around China, a Communist Party-owned newspaper boasts. Are bills set to rise? The almost daily probes of Taiwans air defences would suddenly turn serious. But leaders in Washington also need to avoid stumbling carelessly into a war with China because it would be unlike anything ever faced by Americans. Please try again later. China has demonstrated its capabilities already, including in Taiwan, where it has waged disinformation campaigns, and in serious hacking incidents in the United States. It isn't Ukraine. What would all the other countries in Asia, such as South Korea, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia do? China vs Australia | Comparison military strength - ArmedForces All agree, for example, that the United States with or without Australias assistance cannot win a war against China. He says that unlike the experience of the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan that affected only the members deployed into the conflict and their families, a war with China would have an impact on all Australians "economically, financially and personally it is likely to impoverish us all; it may even kill most of us if it goes nuclear". The map below, compiled from data provided by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), is the most accurate nuclear attack map and fallout demonstration available for 2023: (Image courtesy of FEMA and Halcyon Maps) The fallout would rapidly spread, turning targeted cities into whole affected regions. "The irrational elements thus make direct large-scale confrontation between two nuclear powers very dangerous. U.S. citizens have grown accustomed to sending their military off to fight far from home. Modern aircraft particularly the F-35 stealth fighters in Australias arsenal need tender loving care. [A war is] something that you and I may well have to confront in the next five to 10 years, he said. What would war with China look like for Australia? "The mobilisation for all this would take many months and US intelligence would detect it and know in advance what was being planned. No emergency stockpiles have been established onshore. "On one hand, if China attacked the US homeland, similar to the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbour, the US would respond with war. "The consequences for us would be very serious in terms of the Australian economy, the impact on the Australian people and the ravages to our way of life throughout the land, he says. I am 68 and I am certain we will be at war with China within my lifetime. . "A cross-strait invasion is the most dangerous scenario from China's perspective. "But, in a large-scale war involving many hundreds of thousands of people in offensive and defensive operations, even before reaching the attendant prospect of reaching a nuclear war threshold, Australia is unlikely to make a substantial difference. For a second day in a row Taiwan has reported a large-scale air force incursion, escalating tensions in the region.
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